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I ALWAYS enjoy reading anything you write, Arthur, but your comments here do too easily mirror the US-HMG narrative. It is a very 'optimistic' piece.

The reason nothing is happening right now, apart from the continuation of what is largely an artillery war, is because both sides are literally stuck in mud!

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Agree with Mathew, way too optimistic as you have been since the war started. No recognition of how critical the war is in R eyes, not just Putin. US prevents all attempts at negotiations even when UKR expresses need. Zelensky is trying now to get a meeting with Xi and make some progress diplomatically. Forget US politics, what about war fatigue in the EU? AFU are tired and need a break as much as R. UKR economy is devasted.

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The interesting thing about Xi’s peace plan (if such a thing exists, which I think remains to be proven) is that his public remarks, as I note in the piece, are very unhelpful to Russia, hence the observation about territorial integrity.

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